Wednesday, March 30, 2011

No Republican Candidates, First GOP Debate Moved

The first formal debate for the 2012 GOP presidential candidates was scheduled for May 2, which is less than five weeks away. However, with no credible candidates having actually launched campaigns, the event has been moved to September 14.

Obama 2012!


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Tea Party "Movement" Inceasingly Unpopular

CNN has a new poll out showing their highest-ever level of unfavorable views for the Tea Party movement. According to the poll, 47 percent of Americans now have an unfavorable view of the Tea Party, as compared to 32 percent with a favorable one.

Let’s keep this simple: is the poll some sort of outlier or part of a trend?

In the chart below, I’ve plotted all polls from the database that asked people for their impressions on the Tea Party, and then plotted a smoothed regression line on top of them. Favorable or positive views are shown in blue; unfavorable or negative ones in red.

The trend looks reasonably clear: unfavorable views are on the rise. Although the CNN poll may have exaggerated them slightly, they now register at about 44 percent, according to the trendline.

Bereft of ideas, this scapegoating demagogic movement of know-nothings will be relegated to the trash heap of history.

In the past it took longer and more damage was done. Americans are finally learning quicker.

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